Sales forecast
Company: Northgate Supplies Ltd
Period: Financial year 2027
Currency: USD
Prepared by: Karim Haddad, Head of Sales on 5 January 2027
Basis of the forecast
Last year's revenue of 1.8m, the current pipeline of 2.4m at weighted probabilities, renewal rates of 88%, and two new sales hires from April.
Forecast by quarter
| Quarter | Expected revenue (USD) |
|---|---|
| Q1 | 420,000 |
| Q2 | 480,000 |
| Q3 | 540,000 |
| Q4 | 610,000 |
| Total | 2,050,000 |
Range
| Case | Total (USD) |
|---|---|
| Low | 1,700,000 |
| Expected | 2,050,000 |
| High | 2,400,000 |
Key assumptions
Win rate of 22% on qualified deals
Average deal 38,000
No change in price
New hires reach full productivity after 4 months
Risks and opportunities
Risk: the largest customer (12% of revenue) may leave
Opportunity: a partner channel launching in Q3
Tracking
The forecast is reviewed Monthly, with a full update each quarter. Each review compares actual revenue with the forecast, explains differences and updates the assumptions.